BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Middle Tennessee 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Middle Tennessee 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
27.36 |
20.23 (-7.14) |
23.27 |
20.91 (-2.36) |
20.91 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
386.45 |
352.11 (-34.34) |
375.73 |
344.01 (-31.71) |
344.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
4.59 (-0.58) |
5.49 |
5.36 (-0.12) |
5.36 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.09 |
37.08 (+6.99) |
29.36 |
32.18 (+2.81) |
32.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
431.73 |
459.36 (+27.63) |
391.45 |
413.44 (+21.98) |
413.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.74 |
6.10 (+0.37) |
5.53 |
5.58 (+0.05) |
5.58 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Alabama |
7.70 |
47.06 |
+39.36 |
54.76 |
0.10% |
L 7-56 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Missouri |
11.07 |
46.19 |
+35.12 |
57.25 |
0.10% |
L 19-23 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Murray State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-14 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Colorado State |
29.89 |
26.04 |
-3.84 |
55.93 |
56.16% |
L 23-31 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-28 |
@Western Kentucky |
26.30 |
33.57 |
+7.27 |
59.87 |
38.35% |
L 10-31 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-05 |
Jacksonville State |
25.73 |
28.39 |
+2.66 |
54.12 |
45.74% |
L 30-45 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-10 |
Louisiana Tech |
35.77 |
25.38 |
-10.39 |
61.15 |
66.67% |
W 31-23 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-17 |
@Liberty |
23.78 |
47.13 |
+23.35 |
70.91 |
12.54% |
L 35-42 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@New Mexico State |
19.29 |
28.55 |
+9.26 |
47.84 |
35.16% |
L 7-13 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Florida International |
35.84 |
18.59 |
-17.26 |
54.43 |
77.68% |
W 40-6 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
UTEP |
29.00 |
20.31 |
-8.69 |
49.32 |
63.94% |
W 34-30 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Sam Houston State |
24.56 |
19.13 |
-5.42 |
43.69 |
58.70% |
L 20-23 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.08% |
| 2-10 |
1.13% |
| 3-9 |
5.70% |
| 4-8 |
15.52% |
| 5-7 |
25.95% |
| 6-6 |
26.58% |
| 7-5 |
17.25% |
| 8-4 |
6.49% |
| 9-3 |
1.21% |
| 10-2 |
0.09% |